P6

Polymarket HFT Algorithm

Wallet: PBot-6 ACTIVE HFT BOT

Short-term BTC/ETH Up/Down Binary CTF • Passive Market Making & Complete Set Arbitrage

Total PnL
+$229,842.00
Avg Trade
$39.67
Win Rate
50.0%
Video Strategy Rules:
1. Maker Limit Buys ≤ 50¢ below Fair Value
2. Buy Opposite Outcome → Sets < $1.00
3. Directional Tilt guided by Binance/CoinDCX
Target Prediction Contract

Bitcoin Above $78,000 at Next Interval? (15m Expiry)

Complete Set Value
$1.00 USDC (Guaranteed)
BUY UP (YES) Fair: 48.2%
$0.460
PBot-6 Maker Bid Quote ≤ 50¢ Cap
Tranche Size: $39.67 Fills: 14 fills
BUY DOWN (NO) Fair: 51.8%
$0.480
PBot-6 Maker Bid Quote ≤ 50¢ Cap
Tranche Size: $39.67 Fills: 14 fills
Complete Set Combined Cost (UP + DOWN):
$0.460 + $0.480 = $0.940 < $1.00 VIABLE
Locked Risk-Free Yield Per Set:
+$0.060 (+6.38% yield)

Live Arbitrage Accumulation Curve

Real-time Complete Sets compounding ($1.00 settlement baseline)

Complete Sets: 580 Sets
Reference Price Oracles 2 EXCHANGES
Binance Spot (BTCUSDT) +0.00% [NEUTRAL]
$78,000.00
CoinDCX Live (BTCUSDT) ₹100.10/USDT
$77,988.00
₹78.07 Lakhs (BTCINR)
CoinDCX Futures Position LONG 20x
Size: 0.098 BTC ($7,638.5) Margin: $383.09
Live PnL: -$12.79 USDT (-₹1,279)

Live Execution Tape

0 Fills